The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the April report for Personal Income and Outlays, outlining core inflation at 0.4% for the month and a 3.8%12-month inflation rate. This is an indication that on the next Fed decision on June 17, 2026 might continue March’s holding pattern.
The BEA data does not relay one singular outcome for the housing market with a varying landscape across the U.S.
“When inflation runs this hot, the Fed stays put and mortgage rates stay stuck in the mid-6s,” said Dr. Selma Hepp, Cotality‘s Chief Economist and regular contributor to Builder and Developer. “That freezes the national housing market in place. But a flat national number is hiding a lot behind the scenes. In fact, at a local level, many markets are hiding a complex landscape that is completely fractured from national numbers.”





